¿Qué es el valor en las apuestas deportivas?

En Betpractice siempre hablamos de la importancia del valor a la hora de hacer un análisis y de cómo incorporar filtros de valor en nuestras estrategias y sistemas. Para nosotros el concepto de valor está directamente relacionado con el de cuota real (que tienes explicado en este artículo).

El valor esa la diferencia porcentual entre dos cuotas. Por un lado la cuota que nos ofrecen para un mercado y por otro la cuota que nosotros le asignamos a ese mismo mercado después de nuestro análisis. Por ejemplo si para el mercado Over 2.5 goles nos ofrecen una cuota @2 pero tras el análisis del partido nosotros le asignamos a ese mismo mercado una cuota @1.8 estamos ante una oportunidad con valor del 10% (diferencia entre cuota @1.8 y @2).

En Betpractice cada mercado tiene asignada una cuota real en base a la muestra que tengamos activa en ese momento en nuestro perfil, y por tanto cada mercado tiene su cuota real, cuota ofrecida y al lado el valor calculado de cada mercado.

El valor es una herramienta fundamental ya que nos da una ventaja frente a las cuotas ofrecidas y nos dice si una cuota ofrecida está justamente asignada o no, o lo que es lo mismo, si la cuota es la correcta. Cada entrada de valor bien estudiada es una entrada bien hecha independientemente del resultado final.

¿Cómo encontrar apuestas de valor?

En Betpractice hay varias herramientas con las que poder encontrar valor en diferentes mercados. Una opción es hacerlo con la herramienta PREPARTIDO. En esta herramienta puedes elegir las ligas que quieras analizar, los mercados, estadísticas y rachas; y además puedes usar filtros para obtener solo aquellos partidos con X rango de valor.

Herramienta Prepartido con filtro de valor en el mercado Ambos marcan sí con mínimo 5%

¿Son rentables las apuestas de valor?

En Betpractice tienes disponibles sistemas rentables utilizando filtros de valor, por lo que la respuesta es sí. En la siguiente imagen vas a poder ver un sistema rentable utilizando el mercado de ambos marcan sí que lleva siendo rentable desde enero de 2020:

Este sistema lo tienes explicado en el siguiente vídeo si te gustaría saber más de él:

En la herramienta Explorador de Betpractice también vas a poder analizar y ver si hay valor o no en una entrada. En el Explorador podemos cargar los mercados que queramos analizar y vamos a ver la cuota real (asignada en nuestro perfil activo), así como la cuota ofrecida y por tanto el valor. Además todo esto lo vamos a poder comparar con la cuota real de la temporada actual más la anterior, los enfrentamientos directos y la cuota personalizada que elegimos en la misma herramienta explorador.

Esto nos permite tener una visión más amplia de las diferentes cuotas reales dependiendo de la muestra utilizada. Es una herramienta genial para ver si a lo largo de los años se ha mantenido la tendencia en un mercado o no.

Esperamos que te haya gustado este artículo y si tienes alguna pregunta no dudes en dejarnos un comentario aquí o a través de nuestras redes sociales.


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33 thoughts on “¿Qué es el valor en las apuestas deportivas?”

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